After last night's CONCACAF WC 2010 qualifiers, the group is delicately poised as such:
1. Honduras - Played 7 13 pts (+7 GD)
2. USA - Played 7 13 pts (+4 GD)
3. Mexico - Played 7 12 pts (+2 GD)
4. Costa Rica - Played 12 pts (-3 GD)
Given that the fourth placed team will play off against the fifth placed CONMEBOL team (likely Argentina) it's about time to asksome serious questions about how this will all play out - e.g., who's going to miss out on automatic qualification.
In my estimation the U.S.'s run-in (T&T away, Honduras away, CR at home) is slightly harder than Mexico's (Honduras at home, El Salvador at home, T&T away). If I had to guess, though, I'd say both sides will gain 7 more points from those; I fancy Honduras to take points off both Mexico and us, in other words. That would mean that the U.S. would end up with 20 pts, Mexico with 19 points, Honduras with 18 points and Costa Rica with 18 points. That is, it's going to be mighty tight and might come down to goal difference.
What say you, lads?